Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 20, 33, 35) with the draw of 14 January 2015 — its closest relative in 482 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.1% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 January 2016): 11, 33 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 101 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. No two numbers side by side. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.