Friday, 5 June 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 27, 34) with the draw of 17 November 2014 — its closest relative in 262 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 June 2015): 27 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 109 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. No two numbers side by side. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.