Tuesday, 5 May 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 22, 42) with the draw of 17 April 2015 — its closest relative in 231 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 90 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. No two numbers side by side. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.