Saturday, 23 June 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (15, 20, 26, 32) with the draw of 12 June 2011 — its closest relative in 801 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 June 2012): 35 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 128 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.