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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Every number

Megabucks Plus numbers

How often each number has come up, next to how often chance says it should. Any number opens its own page. Back to Megabucks Plus

This game’s pool size was inferred, not declared

No source told us how many balls this draw uses, so we took the highest number we have actually seen drawn (41). If a ball has never come up, the real pool is larger and every expected frequency below is slightly overstated. Treat the comparison as indicative.

Draws counted
1,884
Expected per number
229.8
Largest deviation
3.19σ
Beyond chance
0
No number is drawn more often than chance explains

Across 1,884 draws, each number is expected about 230 times. 1 number looks unusual on its own — but testing all 41 numbers at once means about 0.4 should look that way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.4e-4. Nothing survives it: these draws behave exactly as random draws should.

Every number

NumberDrawnExpectedDeviationσLast seenDraws since
21275229.8
+3.192026-10-072
2252229.8
+1.572026-10-072
33252229.8
+1.572026-09-219
26249229.8
+1.352026-09-1213
31248229.8
+1.282026-09-1412
3247229.8
+1.212026-10-120
19247229.8
+1.212026-10-101
38246229.8
+1.142026-08-2222
4245229.8
+1.072026-09-1910
20243229.8
+0.932026-09-267
13241229.8
+0.792026-07-2932
25238229.8
+0.582026-10-120
37238229.8
+0.582026-10-053
27236229.8
+0.442026-10-053
34234229.8
+0.302026-08-3118
8233229.8
+0.232026-10-034
22233229.8
+0.232026-09-286
1231229.8
+0.092026-10-101
17231229.8
+0.092026-10-120
24231229.8
+0.092026-09-1910
16227229.8
-0.192026-08-2620
35227229.8
-0.192026-09-1412
14225229.8
-0.332026-09-286
40224229.8
-0.412026-09-267
15223229.8
-0.482026-09-305
18223229.8
-0.482026-09-1611
12222229.8
-0.552026-10-034
30222229.8
-0.552026-10-053
10221229.8
-0.622026-09-305
5220229.8
-0.692026-10-053
9220229.8
-0.692026-09-1611
23220229.8
-0.692026-10-072
32219229.8
-0.762026-10-120
11217229.8
-0.902026-09-0516
28216229.8
-0.972026-09-286
7213229.8
-1.182026-10-101
39213229.8
-1.182026-09-1412
41211229.8
-1.322026-10-101
6210229.8
-1.392026-10-120
29201229.8
-2.022026-08-1525
36196229.8
-2.382026-09-1910

Star numbers

A separate machine drawing 1 from 1–6, with its own expectation of about 314 per number.

NumberDrawnExpectedDeviationσLast seenDraws since
4331314.0
+1.052026-10-101
2327314.0
+0.802026-09-305
5318314.0
+0.252026-10-120
3304314.0
-0.622026-09-1611
1302314.0
-0.742026-09-0516
6302314.0
-0.742026-10-072
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. Each draw is independent: a number absent for fifty draws is exactly as likely to appear tonight as one drawn yesterday. The point of comparing against expectation is to show when a difference is ordinary — which, in a fair draw, it almost always is.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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