Saturday, 19 February 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (22, 27, 28, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 March 2017 — its closest relative in 1,238 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 February 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (17% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 146 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.