Tuesday, 14 November 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (30, 34) with the draw of 12 November 2017 — its closest relative in 542 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2017): 22 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 145 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.