Saturday, 10 September 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 34) with the draw of 6 August 2016 — its closest relative in 116 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2016): 7 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 93 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.