Sunday, 17 July 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (20, 38) with the draw of 14 July 2016 — its closest relative in 61 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2016): 20 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 137 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.