Thursday, 31 August 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 18, 22, 30) with the draw of 22 September 2010 — its closest relative in 2,693 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 102 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.