Monday, 20 June 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (20, 35, 36, 37) with the draw of 4 October 2013 — its closest relative in 2,256 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 June 2016): 20 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 158 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36, 36–37. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.