Saturday, 11 February 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 12, 30) with the draw of 4 July 2010 — its closest relative in 672 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 February 2012): 12 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 78 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 80. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.