Wednesday, 19 June 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 28, 33) with the draw of 14 June 2023 — its closest relative in 2,224 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 June 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 167 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.