Monday, 1 January 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 5, 41) with the draw of 6 March 2023 — its closest relative in 2,151 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 December 2023): 24 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 77 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.