Wednesday, 21 December 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 21, 36, 46) with the draw of 16 November 2011 — its closest relative in 1,990 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2022): 46 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 126 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.