Wednesday, 22 June 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 29, 30) with the draw of 19 October 2020 — its closest relative in 1,911 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 June 2022): 29 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 99 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.