Wednesday, 29 December 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 21, 44) with the draw of 20 September 2021 — its closest relative in 1,836 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2021): 1 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 139 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.