Monday, 25 March 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 18, 21, 44) with the draw of 23 February 2018 — its closest relative in 1,403 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 18% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 March 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 138 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.