Wednesday, 19 February 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 18, 47) with the draw of 14 January 2013 — its closest relative in 606 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2014): 38, 47 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 112 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.