Monday, 21 October 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 27, 47) with the draw of 6 May 2013 — its closest relative in 554 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 October 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 126 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.