Wednesday, 23 August 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 10, 19) with the draw of 2 August 2017 — its closest relative in 767 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 101 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.