Saturday, 24 June 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 17, 27, 32) with the draw of 4 February 2017 — its closest relative in 750 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 June 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 150 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.