Saturday, 10 October 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 7, 31, 39) with the draw of 3 July 2013 — its closest relative in 572 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2015): 31, 44 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 136 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.