Wednesday, 17 September 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 36, 47) with the draw of 23 February 2013 — its closest relative in 463 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2014): 9 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 200 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 57% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.