Wednesday, 10 September 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 24, 46) with the draw of 25 June 2014 — its closest relative in 461 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 September 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 144 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.