Saturday, 23 November 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 9, 14, 34) with the draw of 10 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,004 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 70 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.