Saturday, 3 February 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 12, 41) with the draw of 12 July 2017 — its closest relative in 816 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2018): 39 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 125 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.