Monday, 26 October 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 31, 35, 37) with the draw of 26 November 2015 — its closest relative in 1,101 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 October 2020): 4 carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 128 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. No two numbers side by side. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.