Monday, 8 August 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 21, 26, 39) with the draw of 1 February 2016 — its closest relative in 661 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 August 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 109 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. No two numbers side by side. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.