Monday, 13 June 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 13, 20, 28) with the draw of 3 November 2014 — its closest relative in 645 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 June 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 116 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.