Saturday, 11 June 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 17, 32, 46) with the draw of 8 October 2014 — its closest relative in 672 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 June 2016): 13, 17, 30 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 146 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.