Saturday, 29 August 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 26, 27, 41) with the draw of 8 January 2014 — its closest relative in 590 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2015): 27 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 173 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.