Wednesday, 13 November 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 27, 29) with the draw of 21 August 2013 — its closest relative in 403 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 November 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 133 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.