Wednesday, 31 July 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 8, 24, 34) with the draw of 26 August 2016 — its closest relative in 2,825 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 July 2019): 24 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 86 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.