Friday, 13 November 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (25, 28, 31, 35) with the draw of 17 June 2012 — its closest relative in 1,814 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 November 2015): 25, 28 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 148 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.