Friday, 5 December 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (35, 38, 40, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 September 2021 — its closest relative in 2,275 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 25% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 December 2025): 35 carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 158 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.