Saturday, 30 November 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (21, 22, 32, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 September 2021 — its closest relative in 1,905 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 November 2024): 21 carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 159 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.