Wednesday, 28 September 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 25, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 September 2020 — its closest relative in 1,111 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2022): 2 carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 121 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.