Tuesday, 8 March 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 8, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 December 2021 — its closest relative in 907 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2022): 8 carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 93 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.