Thursday, 7 January 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 25, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 May 2017 — its closest relative in 620 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.