Monday, 30 October 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 12, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 March 2016 — its closest relative in 287 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 October 2017): 2, 12 carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.