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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Wednesday, 10 July 2024

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 21
  3. 25
  4. 42
  5. 51
  6. 4

Jackpot$4,780,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 799 of 1,155 under them

← 2024-07-08All recent draws2024-07-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 21 25 42 51 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

679times
2170times
2584times
4265times
51

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 357kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$207.4Kto 37k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • match_5_0_b29%$60K
  • match_1_1_b19%$39.5K
  • match_0_1_b33%$69.2K
  • 5 other tiers19%$38.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.01 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

87times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

481times

Every number was expected about that many times after 798 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 42, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 August 2022 — its closest relative in 798 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2024): 21 carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. No two numbers side by side. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,780,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in1≈ 0.12 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in1≈ 3.2 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in32≈ 29 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in151≈ 149 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in1,316≈ 1.3k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in2,117≈ 2.2k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in12,086≈ 12k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in21,100≈ 21k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈357k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_2_1_b — 2,117 winners, 5% fewer than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball14,352$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball8,250$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball1,432$5.00
    Match 3895$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball105$20.00
    Match 425$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball1$1,000
    Match 50$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$4,780,000
    match_0_1_b6,748$6.00
    match_1_1_b3,836$6.00
    match_2_1_b685$15.00
    match_3_0_b421$15.00
    match_3_1_b46$60.00
    match_4_0_b7$300
    match_4_1_b0$3,000
    match_5_0_b1$60,000