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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Saturday, 16 September 2023

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 30
  3. 34
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 3

Jackpot$2,100,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 671 of 1,155 under them

← 2023-09-13All recent draws2023-09-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 30 34 40 41 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours81th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

2359times
3072times
3472times
4067times
41

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 353kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$171.9Kto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • match_2_1_b12%$20K
  • match_1_1_b27%$46.3K
  • match_0_1_b48%$82.9K
  • 4 other tiers13%$22.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.01 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

361times

Every number was expected about that many times after 670 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (34, 40, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 March 2022 — its closest relative in 670 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2023): 40 carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,100,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in0≈ 0.12 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in2≈ 3.2 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in22≈ 29 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in141≈ 147 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in1,107≈ 1.3k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in1,977≈ 2.2k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in11,756≈ 12k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in20,836≈ 21k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈353k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_3_0_b — 1,107 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball13,973$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball7,955$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball1,302$5.00
    Match 3744$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball92$20.00
    Match 416$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball2$1,000
    Match 50$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$2,100,000
    match_0_1_b6,863$8.00
    match_1_1_b3,801$8.00
    match_2_1_b675$20.00
    match_3_0_b363$20.00
    match_3_1_b49$80.00
    match_4_0_b6$400
    match_4_1_b0$4,000
    match_5_0_b0$80,000