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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Monday, 15 May 2023

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 16
  3. 33
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 8

Jackpot$2,900,000

The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 618 of 1,155 under them

← 2023-05-13All recent draws2023-05-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 16 33 38 41 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

952times
1663times
3349times
3861times
41

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 230kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$94.2Kto 24k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • match_2_1_b12%$11.7K
  • match_1_1_b28%$26.1K
  • match_0_1_b48%$44.9K
  • 3 other tiers12%$11.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.01 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

52times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

863times

Every number was expected about that many times after 617 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 16, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 June 2021 — its closest relative in 617 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. No two numbers side by side. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,900,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in0≈ 0.08 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in0≈ 2.1 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in18≈ 19 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in96≈ 96 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in763≈ 860 by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in1,403≈ 1.4k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in7,927≈ 7.9k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in13,553≈ 14k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈230k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_3_0_b — 763 winners, 11% fewer than the 860 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball9,094$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball5,369$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball938$5.00
    Match 3527$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball66$20.00
    Match 416$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball0$1,000
    Match 50$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$2,900,000
    match_0_1_b4,459$6.00
    match_1_1_b2,558$6.00
    match_2_1_b465$15.00
    match_3_0_b236$15.00
    match_3_1_b30$60.00
    match_4_0_b2$300
    match_4_1_b0$3,000
    match_5_0_b0$60,000