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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Saturday, 4 March 2023

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 24
  4. 32
  5. 52
  6. 4

Jackpot$38,970,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 587 of 1,155 under them

← 2023-03-01All recent draws2023-03-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 24 32 52 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd10th
  • low66th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

253times
558times
2456times
3264times
52

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 683kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$228.6Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • match_2_1_b12%$28K
  • match_1_1_b27%$60.7K
  • match_0_1_b45%$102.8K
  • 4 other tiers16%$37.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

453times

Every number was expected about that many times after 586 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 32, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 September 2022 — its closest relative in 586 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. No two numbers side by side. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$38,970,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in0≈ 0.24 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in3≈ 6.2 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in61≈ 56 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in315≈ 284 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in2,643≈ 2.6k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in4,354≈ 4.3k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in23,839≈ 23k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in40,340≈ 40k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈683k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_3_0_b — 2,643 winners, 3% more than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball29,262$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball17,326$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball3,117$5.00
    Match 31,888$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball224$20.00
    Match 442$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball2$1,000
    Match 50$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$38,970,000
    match_0_1_b11,078$4.00
    match_1_1_b6,513$4.00
    match_2_1_b1,237$10.00
    match_3_0_b755$10.00
    match_3_1_b91$40.00
    match_4_0_b19$200
    match_4_1_b1$2,000
    match_5_0_b0$40,000