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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Wednesday, 28 September 2022

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 38
  3. 39
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 6

Jackpot$24,120,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 520 of 1,155 under them

← 2022-09-26All recent draws2022-10-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 38 39 44 45 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

1341times
3848times
3943times
4444times
45

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 490kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$193.4Kto 50k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • match_2_1_b11%$21.1K
  • match_1_1_b25%$48.7K
  • match_0_1_b46%$89K
  • 4 other tiers18%$34.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

655times

Every number was expected about that many times after 519 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 39, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 June 2021 — its closest relative in 519 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

179

The numbers add up to 179 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39, 44–45. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$24,120,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in0≈ 0.17 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in6≈ 4.4 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in44≈ 40 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in183≈ 204 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in1,673≈ 1.8k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in2,783≈ 3.1k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in16,040≈ 17k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in28,934≈ 29k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈490k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_2_1_b — 2,783 winners, 9% fewer than the 3.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21,157$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball11,890$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball2,067$5.00
    Match 31,252$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball136$20.00
    Match 433$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball4$1,000
    Match 50$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$24,120,000
    match_0_1_b7,777$6.00
    match_1_1_b4,150$6.00
    match_2_1_b716$15.00
    match_3_0_b421$15.00
    match_3_1_b47$60.00
    match_4_0_b11$300
    match_4_1_b2$3,000
    match_5_0_b0$60,000