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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Wednesday, 18 September 2019

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 41
  3. 44
  4. 51
  5. 52
  6. 6

Jackpot$2,950,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 193 of 1,155 under them

← 2019-09-14All recent draws2019-09-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 41 44 51 52 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours81th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

1024times
4117times
4417times
5119times
52

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 385kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$193.5Kto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • match_5_0_b10%$20K
  • match_1_1_b24%$45.9K
  • match_0_1_b43%$82.3K
  • 5 other tiers23%$45.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.01 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

614times

Every number was expected about that many times after 192 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 August 2019 — its closest relative in 192 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

198

The numbers add up to 198 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. Side-by-side numbers: 51–52. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,950,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in1≈ 0.13 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in1≈ 3.5 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in19≈ 31 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in158≈ 160 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in1,330≈ 1.4k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in2,173≈ 2.4k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in12,698≈ 13k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in22,733≈ 23k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈385k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_2_1_b — 2,173 winners, 10% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball16,596$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball9,273$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball1,585$5.00
    Match 3954$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball118$20.00
    Match 413$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball0$1,000
    Match 51$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$2,950,000
    match_0_1_b6,137$8.00
    match_1_1_b3,425$8.00
    match_2_1_b588$20.00
    match_3_0_b376$20.00
    match_3_1_b40$80.00
    match_4_0_b6$400
    match_4_1_b1$4,000
    match_5_0_b0$80,000