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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Wednesday, 14 August 2019

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 21
  3. 35
  4. 45
  5. 52
  6. 2

Jackpot$2,450,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 183 of 1,155 under them

← 2019-08-10All recent draws2019-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 21 35 45 52 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd90th
  • low34th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

1520times
2114times
3519times
4521times
52

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-14

  • Lines in play≈ 373kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$138.6Kto 38k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • match_5_0_b14%$20K
  • match_1_1_b22%$30.7K
  • match_0_1_b40%$55.9K
  • 5 other tiers23%$32K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.01 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

224times

Every number was expected about that many times after 182 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 45, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 August 2018 — its closest relative in 182 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2019): 15 carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. No two numbers side by side. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,450,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in1≈ 0.13 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in1≈ 3.4 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in39≈ 30 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in144≈ 155 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in1,448≈ 1.4k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in2,132≈ 2.3k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in12,088≈ 13k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in21,987≈ 22k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈373k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_2_1_b — 2,132 winners, 8% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball16,042$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball8,812$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball1,556$5.00
    Match 31,059$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball105$20.00
    Match 432$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball1$1,000
    Match 51$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$2,450,000
    match_0_1_b5,945$4.00
    match_1_1_b3,276$4.00
    match_2_1_b576$10.00
    match_3_0_b389$10.00
    match_3_1_b39$40.00
    match_4_0_b7$200
    match_4_1_b0$2,000
    match_5_0_b0$40,000