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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Saturday, 4 August 2018

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 26
  4. 45
  5. 52
  6. 1

Jackpot$5,920,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 76 of 1,155 under them

← 2018-08-01All recent draws2018-08-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 26 45 52 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap61th
  • neighbours81th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

159times
168times
266times
459times
52

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 461kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$183.3Kto 48k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • match_2_1_b12%$21.4K
  • match_1_1_b26%$46.9K
  • match_0_1_b45%$82.9K
  • 4 other tiers18%$32.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

5times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

14times

Every number was expected about that many times after 75 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 16, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 April 2018 — its closest relative in 75 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$5,920,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in0≈ 0.16 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in5≈ 4.2 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in34≈ 38 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in200≈ 192 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in1,882≈ 1.7k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in2,796≈ 2.9k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in15,449≈ 16k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in27,237≈ 27k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈461k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_3_0_b — 1,882 winners, 9% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20,143$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball11,439$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball2,051$5.00
    Match 31,364$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball157$20.00
    Match 427$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball4$1,000
    Match 50$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$5,920,000
    match_0_1_b7,094$6.00
    match_1_1_b4,010$6.00
    match_2_1_b745$15.00
    match_3_0_b518$15.00
    match_3_1_b43$60.00
    match_4_0_b7$300
    match_4_1_b1$3,000
    match_5_0_b0$60,000