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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 October 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 23
  6. 39

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/42 · since Aug 2020draw 432 of 644 under them

← 2024-09-28All recent draws2024-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 17 18 21 23 3929 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours65th
  • spread31th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

1165times
1768times
1857times
2168times
23

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-02

  • Lines in play≈ 142kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$30.2Kto 4.2k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 519%$5.8K
  • Match 442%$12.8K
  • Match 338%$11.6K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance$500,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
3957times

Every number was expected about that many times after 431 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 17, 21, 39) with the draw of 29 December 2021 — its closest relative in 431 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 September 2024): 21 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 5.9 by chance
$1,447
  • Match 4279≈ 256 by chance$46.00
  • Match 33,868≈ 3.9k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈142k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,868 winners, 0% more than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$500,000
    Match 54$1,447
    Match 4279$46.00
    Match 33,868$3.00
    Totals4,151—